Soybeans are mostly higher from fractionally mixed to 4 cents in the black in early Friday futures activity. The AM meal quotes are $2 to $3 stronger, while soybean oil futures are down by another 30 points into Friday. Confirmation of the slowest weekly soybean export sales of the marketing year pressured beans lower through most of the Thursday session. March got below the $12 mark, but closed 2 ¾ cents off the low to hold above the round number. Soymeal futures ended the trading day with 1.7% to 1.9% losses of as much as $6.90. Soy oil futures closed the day down by 1%. 

USDA’s FAS Export Sales report showed soybeans bookings during the week of January 25 at just 164,000 MT, well below the minimum 500k MT expected and a marketing year low. Soybean meal sales were tallied at 494,231 MT for that week, the second largest during the MY so far. Bean oil bookings were just 1,043 MT as the domestic full market is absorbing the supply. 

The monthly Fats and Oils report showed 204.3 mbu of soybeans were crushed in December. That was a new all-time high but was slightly below the trade average guess. NASS data has the season total at 780.5 mbu through Dec, which is also a record pace and compares to 741.2 mbu last year. Soybean oil stocks were reported at 1.36 billion lbs, up from from 1.214b in November. 

Private analyst firm StoneX reduced their outlook for Brazil’s 23/24 soybean crop by 1.6% to 150.35 MMT – citing weather. They then dropped exports by 2 MMT to 93 MMT.  Anec estimates the Brazilian January soybean exports were 2.49 MMT. 

 

Mar 24 Soybeans  closed at $12.03 1/4, down 19 cents, currently up 2 1/2 cents

Nearby Cash   was $11.51 5/8, down 13 1/2 cents,

May 24 Soybeans  closed at $12.13 3/4, down 19 cents, currently up 1 3/4 cents

Jul 24 Soybeans  closed at $12.23 3/4, down 18 cents, currently up 2 cents


On the date of publication, Alan Brugler did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Disclosure Policy here.

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