The Friday wheat market ended with prices off their lows but still 1 to 8 ¾ cents in the red. Chicago was the firmest on the day, ended down by 1 to 3 ¾ cents. That left May with a net weekly loss of 9 ¼ cents and set new LoC lows. KC wheat futures were down by 6 ¾ to 8 ½ cents on Friday and May was 22 ½ cents under last Friday’s close. MGE futures ended the session with 5 ¾ cent losses to 8 ¾ cent losses across the front months. May HRS was at a 12 cent loss for the week. 

Weekly CoT data had Chicago wheat spec traders with a 78,870 contract net short as of 3/12. That was a 13.3k contract stronger net short via long liquidation through the week. In KC, managed money funds were rolling shorts to new longs and reduced their net short by 5.3k contracts to 35,547. CFTC reported the funds with a 21,701 contract net short in Minneapolis wheat, a 2.4k contract weaker net short after short covering. 

Strategie Grains estimated EU wheat output at 121.6 MMT for the 24/25 crop. That was a 1 MMT cut citing excessive rains. 

USDA’s weekly Export Sales data had 83,804 MT of wheat sold during the week that ended 3/7. Japan booked 114.3k MT of wheat via a regular tender from U.S., Canada, and Australia. 

IKAR expects Russian wheat output for 24/25 to reach 93 MMT and exports for 24/25 to total 50 MMT. 

 

May 24 CBOT Wheat  closed at $5.28 1/2, down 3 3/4 cents,

Jul 24 CBOT Wheat  closed at $5.44, down 3 1/4 cents,

May 24 KCBT Wheat  closed at $5.66 1/4, down 8 1/2 cents,

Jul 24 KCBT Wheat  closed at $5.59 3/4, down 8 1/4 cents,

May 24 MGEX Wheat  closed at $6.46 1/2, down 8 3/4 cents,


On the date of publication, Alan Brugler did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Disclosure Policy here.

Disclaimer: The copyright of this article belongs to the original author. Reposting this article is solely for the purpose of information dissemination and does not constitute any investment advice. If there is any infringement, please contact us immediately. We will make corrections or deletions as necessary. Thank you.

Tags: